BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 236 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (0-8) Overall: (0-10) Overall Strength =    8.91

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    -1.09   6  42    3 207 (  2-  8) Dean                  -14.11    -21.89                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    L     2.29   0  35    3 187 (  6-  4) Castleton             -10.73    -24.27                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    L *  25.21  35  38    3 225 (  3-  7) Worcester St           12.19    -15.19                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    L *  10.72   0  28    3 196 (  4-  6) Mass Maritime          -2.30    -25.70                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    L *   4.75   0  42    3 146 (  6-  4) Bridgewater St MA      -8.27 *  -33.73                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    L *  16.46   0  35    3 104 (  8-  3) Framingham St           3.44 *  -38.44                      
  7 10/16/2021 Away    L *   9.77   0  36    3 169 (  5-  5) Plymouth St            -3.25    -32.75                      
  8 10/23/2021 Away    L *  14.73   0  40    3 118 (  9-  2) UMass-Dartmouth         1.72 *  -41.72                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    L *  10.07  13  48    3 151 (  5-  5) Western Conn St        -2.95    -32.05                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L *   5.40  20  38    3 222 (  1-  9) Westfield St           -7.62    -10.38                      
      Averages               9.83   7.4 38.2

Best game:   25.21 = 3 point loss to Worcester St
Worst game:  -1.09 = 36 point loss to Dean
Team stdev:   7.65